Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.451536 0.495997 0.543670 0.598712 0.660661 0.728401 0.808312
2025-11-02 0.381467 0.443687 0.515216 0.604062 0.712191 0.840456 1.005519
2025-11-09 0.332316 0.401065 0.483776 0.591644 0.730117 0.903983 1.142123
2025-11-16 0.304510 0.378690 0.471320 0.597116 0.766045 0.988770 1.310988
2025-11-23 0.278931 0.355513 0.454123 0.592654 0.785926 1.051691 1.455053
2025-11-30 0.260840 0.339829 0.444377 0.595836 0.814688 1.127642 1.624662
2025-12-07 0.241800 0.320950 0.428206 0.587762 0.825476 1.177352 1.759360
2025-12-14 0.225564 0.304468 0.413691 0.580152 0.835242 1.225191 1.895401
2025-12-21 0.207751 0.284397 0.392410 0.560440 0.824216 1.238810 1.975687
2025-12-28 0.200335 0.278601 0.391142 0.570332 0.859483 1.328775 2.196211
2026-01-04 0.192931 0.272230 0.388399 0.577420 0.890435 1.414185 2.419502
2026-01-11 0.185313 0.264984 0.383717 0.580826 0.915230 1.491085 2.636975
2026-01-18 0.177814 0.257593 0.378502 0.583247 0.939076 1.569793 2.871736
2026-01-25 0.171493 0.251635 0.375123 0.588396 0.968090 1.661040 3.146119
2026-02-01 0.162031 0.240189 0.362229 0.576368 0.965127 1.691761 3.298102
2026-02-08 0.156903 0.235303 0.359587 0.581668 0.994055 1.786588 3.603866
2026-02-15 0.150280 0.227627 0.351849 0.577346 1.004399 1.845436 3.837693
2026-02-22 0.145546 0.222753 0.348450 0.580429 1.028990 1.935692 4.160098
2026-03-01 0.139179 0.214850 0.339450 0.572607 1.031414 1.979552 4.376605
2026-03-08 0.133327 0.207521 0.331024 0.565234 1.034008 2.023888 4.601817
2026-03-15 0.125891 0.197186 0.316854 0.546133 1.011101 2.009562 4.671041
2026-03-22 0.123589 0.195482 0.317725 0.555719 1.048407 2.134836 5.140394
2026-03-29 0.120975 0.193101 0.317236 0.562587 1.080516 2.251928 5.611138